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Chinese Coastguard's Lethal Force Risk Assessment

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3% Risk: The Futility of Predicting Human Intentions at Sea The Chinese coastguard's war game simulations have yielded a sobering result: their chances of using lethal force in disputed waters are an infinitesimal 0. 3%.

This statistic might be seen as reassuring, but it belies the complexity and unpredictability of human behavior on the high seas.

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